Oct 28, 2024
Election crystal ball or magic 8-ball? Join political gurus
Wendy Danley Davis
and Louis Perron as
they unravel "The Pollsters' Dilemma" in the era of Trump on this
episode of "At the Corner of Main St and Wall St."
Can we still trust polls to predict election outcomes? Or are we
better off consulting tea leaves?
This podcast that will challenge everything you thought you knew
about political forecasting.
Get ready to dive into:
• The art (or science?) of reading political tea leaves
• Why your neighbor's lawn signs might be more accurate than
national polls
• The secret algorithm: (Likes + Retweets) ÷ Polling Data =
Election Results?
Don't miss this chance to peek behind the curtain of political
predictions. Your vote counts, but does your opinion poll? Find out
soon!
This episode will:
- Question the reliability of traditional polling methods in the
face of a deeply divided electorate.
- Investigate the phenomenon of the "hidden Trump voter" and
whether polls are underestimating his support.
- Discuss the importance of voter turnout and how it can defy
polling predictions.
- Consider the need for new approaches to understanding voter
behavior, going beyond quantitative data to incorporate qualitative
insights.
- Explore the clear dichotomy between kitchen table issues and
moral outrage, reflecting the unprecedented polarized political
landscape.
Join us as we explore the pollsters' dilemma in this era of
political polarization and volatility. Listen as we explore why
polling has become more challenging, from the rise of 'hidden'
Trump voters to the impact of social media echo chambers.
About our guests:
Wendy Davis, PhD is a former candidate for the Utah House of
Representatives. She holds a PhD in Political Science from the
University of Utah where her research interests included education
policy, political socialization, state and local government, and
political participation. She is the Chief Experience Officer for
Agile Cloud Consulting and author of “The Fight You Don’t See.”
Louis Perron, PhD is a political scientist, consultant, and TEDx
speaker based in Switzerland. His track record includes winning
dozens of election campaigns worldwide—from big city mayors to
presidents. He speaks fluent English, German, and French, is a
frequent commentator on election campaigns in the news, and has
been teaching political marketing for more than a decade. Author of
“Beat the Incumbent, Proven Strategies and Tactics to Win
Elections.”